Let’s get right into the swing of things, shall we?
Brazil will win.
The only way they don’t is if the crippling pressure of being favourites in their home country is too much, or they all develop fucking anaemia like their star player.
Their most likely opponent in the final will come from Spain or Argentina, with Germany not looking the sure bet they once did due to Marco Reus’ injury, a lack of strikers,and Joachim Löw’s insistence on playing silly bollocks with his decisions. Expect Brazil to have too much on the counter attack for a poorer Spain than four years ago, and too much coming forward for the might of Ezequiel Garay and Federico Fernandez in the Argentina back four.
Breaking it down group by group, Brazil should comfortably win A. Croatia are more than capable of giving them a game in the opening match of the tournament, but their lack of a cutting edge – despite sometimes playing three strikers at a time, they’re surprisingly goalshy – could count against them if Mexico revert to good old entertaining Mexico and not the Mexico of annus horribilis 2013/14. Cameroon are the weakest of the African teams, and they’ve got that bellend Alex Song, so no thanks.
Group B is primed for Chile to take advantage of the first game between Spain and Holland, and give them a proper go of proving themselves the real dark horses and not those Belgians. Holland are a team made up of two world class players, the eternally overrated Wesley Sneijder, effective thug Nigel De Jong, and a few talented youngsters. Louis van Gaal is their big trump card, potentially; if they are to get through the group, it’ll be because of effective tactical decisions.
On paper, Group C is notable for both its lack of any obvious heavy hitters and because its the most open of all eight; I wouldn’t be surprised if any of the four made it, but if I was a betting man (and I’m not because I put two quid on once and won 128 quid and then squandered the entire 128 quid making two quid bets for fuck’s sake), I’d go for Colombia’s attacking prowess to prove stronger than the rest – even with Falcao out, there’s potential for Bacca or Martinez to be better at providing the likes of James and Cuadrado with chances – , and for Greece to stay tight and pick up enough points to qualify. Japan are a lovely team to watch but are lightweight and vulnerable in defence, and Ivory Coast’s time has come and gone; they were at their strongest when saddled with tougher groups, but aside from Yaya Toure, a resurgent Gervinho and an aging Drogba (who will probably keep a better choice, Wilfried Bony, on the bench), they’re not the strongest of sides.
Group D is also a real crapshoot; there’s three strong sides, and one that is entirely capable of upsetting the apple cart and frustrating their opponents. Uruguay, despite their incredible strikers and advantageous conditions, aren’t a top side in terms of personnel, and much will depend on the aforementioned attackers and Tabarez’s organisational skills if they are going to go through. Italy and England are both capable of surprising and going further than a lot of people would expect – especially England, where I think Hodgson is unfairly maligned sometimes in terms of tactical decisions, if not because he does actually look like a fucking petrified barn owl – , but both will need to take the onus against each other and Costa Rica. If either team can win both those games, the Uruguay match will most likely be a shoot out for first in the group.
Group E has another of the tournament’s dark horses, Switzerland. With one of the best coaches in the competition and a relatively favourable draw, I could easily see them making it to the quarter finals if they top the group. They should qualify alongside a France side who are criminally underrated, and I can only imagine it’s because of past failures as opposed to a real judgement of their squad. Ecuador and Honduras are both sides who are used to the climate and will be tough to beat, but ultimately they lack the quality (step up Antonio Valencia you fucking SHITHOUSE) to qualify.
Argentina will win Group F at a canter; they’re just much better sides than the other three. Higuain, Messi and Aguero have real chances to stake claims for the golden boot in the three matches. Bosnia and Nigeria will most likely be fighting to be runners up, and I can imagine a scenario where they and Iran sacrifice their chances against Argentina in a three way fight. Iran will finish bottom, but defend well and frustrate. Nigeria are an exciting and energetic side, but without a stand out player the way that Bosnia do in both Pjanic and Dzeko, so I plump for the newcomers here.
Group G is a far more interesting prospect now than it was a few months ago; Germany haven’t got the air of invincibility that many have afforded them, and they need to make sure that their lack of striking options doesn’t result in a lack of cutting edge that Portugal absolutely will have. Thankfully, the USA’s striker is Jozy Altidore, so Germany should be absolutely fucking fine. Ghana are the big ifs here; they’re certainly capable of upsetting the apple cart and taking a result from any of the games, but might just fall short.
Like Group C, Group H benefits from a bit of unpredictability; Belgium have the strongest squad, but their lack of full back options could see them either too blunt in attack or too inflexible in defence. They should still go through, but will face tough opposition from a stoic Russian side, an underrated Algerian team and an unpredictable South Korean squad. Either of those three could follow Belgium out, but I’ll put my money on the Africans, because I don’t know very much about the Koreans and fuck Capello.
From there, there’s a fair few intriguing draws. Brazil – Chile is an relatively easy one on paper, but if there’s a team that they’ll be ruing qualifying from Group B its their South American rivals. Spain – Croatia is a match up between two technically proficient teams, but Croatia will have control of the match taken away from them, and they don’t have the counter attacking skills to make up for it. Colombia – England is a difficult one to call; the Europeans have the better all around squad, and it’ll probably be seen as an upset if they do lose to Colombia (I’m not sure why; ignorant British media I suppose), but Colombia have a great attack. Tough one to call; I’ll go with my heart and Woy’s Boys. Italy – Greece would probably be the easiest of the second round ties to call, with the Italians just as robust in defence as the Euro 2004 winners but far more potent in attack.
France – Bosnia is a match up between two strong attacking sides, but the French midfield should prove too much for the World Cup rookies to handle, even if Dzeko is totally capable of making Laurent Koscielny shit his kidneys out in fear. Argentina should find themselves far more frustrated by an organised Swiss side than in the group stages, but attacking quality should win out in the end (or at least we all hope so and it isn’t a snoozefest like the last World Cup). Portugal are handily stronger than Algeria in a few key positions, but they’ll get a scare from the entertaining Africans. And Germany will beat Belgium because they’re not all they’re cracked up to be.
In the quarterfinals, England will battle valiantly but lose 2-1 to Brazil and they’ll come home as heroes and we’ll all fucking talk about that time Jordan Henderson nutmegged Dani Alves until we all get pneumonia and DIE. Spain – Italy is an intriguing contest, and should be far closer than their Euro 2012 final proved to be. A very tough one to call if both are on top of their game, but I’m expecting Balotelli to bottle a few chances and the Spaniards to take theirs. France are a better side than Portugal, but Portugal have the world’s best player (at the moment, fuck off Barca fans). Another tough one to call, but I’d plump for the midfield of France to be crucial again in overcoming the Iberians. Argentina – Germany has the potential to be an extraordinarily exciting tie; Sabella will have learned from the mistakes of Maradona at 2010, and they should have far more of a cutting edge than Germany. But they also have a far, FAR weaker defence. Expect lots of goals. And… I’ll plump for Argentina by a CUNT HAIR.
A Brazil – France semi final should go the way of the hosts, with their opposition delighted to have got so far and equally as delighted not to have their best player embroiled in a scandal for touching children, and equally as delighted that they don’t have to stare at the face of Samir Nasri all day lest they all want to punch the nearest fucking window. Argentina – Spain is a tougher one to call; will Argentina’s frail defence be able to hold out long enough against the tiki taka torture fest of twattery, and will they be efficient enough on the counter attack to make the most of the chances they do get? I say yes.
And then its a Brazil – Argentina final. A better keeper, defence and midfield make the hosts favourites, but imagine the pressure. Imagine. It’s the 117th minute. 2-2. Neymar steps up for a free kick on the edge of the box. Just imagine the sweat dripping off his beautiful forehead. Pick a winner.